^ To expand on that a little, I think that there are basically three factors that affect the mic or line/audio input choice: 1. sound pressure levels, 2. microphone sensitivity, and 3. input sensitivity. At a given SPL, mics with a given sensitivity will output a signal at a given voltage (see
Table 1 on this page). The recorder's inputs (mic/line) can only accept a certain maximum input voltage, so the choice comes down to whether you overload or underwhelm the input you choose. With a decent recorder, and mics that aren't on the extremes of sensitivity (in either direction), the mic input should generally be OK if you aren't adding any gain via a pre-amp. With a pre, or a combination of dBSPL/mic sensitivity/input sensitivity that would overload the mic input, line-in is the way to go. My two cents and all, of course.
Unfortunately, it is kind of hard to estimate what the sound pressure levels will be (absent previous experiences with the band, venue, and soundman). If you search it, you will see a range of dbSPL estimates for a rock concert. Those go up to 120 dB, but I think that might be an occasional peak, as sustained levels that high would be excruciating after a short time. The good mic and recorder manufacturers (hopefully) specify the sensitivities of their products, though, so you can ballpark the whole thing decently well...
[EDIT:] As some food for thought, the original nBox had a fixed 20 dB gain (if I recall correctly). The mics frequently used with that pre, the Schoeps MK4s, have a sensitivity of 15 mV/Pa. That combination, used with the line input on a wide range of recorders, has produced a ton of great tapes.